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Home » Predictions » Major League Soccer » Houston Dynamo x Seattle Sounders Betting tips for November 3 in USA MLS Play-Offs
Sunday, 03 November 2024, 23h30 USA MLS Play-Offs
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
PREDICTION Houston Dynamo wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
ODD: @2.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Houston Dynamo x Seattle Sounders Betting tips for November 3 in USA MLS Play-Offs

Our betting tip for Houston Dynamo x Seattle Sounders, Sunday, 3/11/2024
📅 3/11/2024
23:30
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
2.30
X
3.30
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
3.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Houston Dynamo x Seattle Sounders:

🔮 Houston Dynamo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Houston Dynamo, you can win up to $1150.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Houston Dynamo x Seattle Sounders:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Houston Dynamo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $43.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Seattle Sounders in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $712.0.
👉 Seattle Sounders did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Houston Dynamo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Seattle Sounders scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Houston Dynamo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Houston Dynamo conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Seattle Sounders.
👉 Seattle Sounders is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Houston Dynamo x Seattle Sounders?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Houston Dynamo x Seattle Sounders, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Houston Dynamo x Seattle Sounders for the USA MLS Play-Offs – 3 of November

🏟️ Houston Dynamo X Seattle Sounders – USA MLS Play-Offs
📅 3 of November, 2024 – 23:30
🔵 Houston Dynamo – Winning probability: 63.23% | Fair line: 1.58
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.52% | Fair line: 7.99
🔴 Seattle Sounders – Winning probability: 24.25% | Fair line: 4.12
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Houston Dynamo
⚽ Expected goals: 4.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Houston Dynamo x Seattle Sounders right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1214939 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Houston Dynamo x Seattle Sounders

Is betting on Houston Dynamo worth it?

🔵 Houston Dynamo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – profiting $819.00;
  • And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$449.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $299.00;
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$571.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Seattle Sounders?

🔴 Seattle Sounders: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$280.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Houston Dynamo x Seattle Sounders

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Houston Dynamo
⚽ Expected goals: 4.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Houston Dynamo x Seattle Sounders

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Houston Dynamo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Houston Dynamo. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Houston Dynamo x Seattle Sounders

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 4.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 2.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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