Ituano x CRB Betting tips for November 5 in Brazil Serie B
| 📅 5/11/2024 00:15 |
 Ituano2.42 |
X 2.95 |
CRB  2.95 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ituano x CRB:
🔮 Ituano wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ituano, you can win up to $1210.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Ituano x CRB: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ituano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $25.0. |
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Analysis from Ituano x CRB for the Brazil Serie B – 5 of November
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🏟️ Ituano X CRB – Brazil Serie B |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ituano x CRB right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1216284 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Ituano x CRB
Is it a good idea to bet on Ituano?
🔵 Ituano: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 520 times – profiting $738.40;
- And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$258.40.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $487.50;
- And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$262.50.
Should you bet on CRB?
🔴 CRB: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 230 times – profiting $448.50;
- And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$321.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ituano x CRB
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Ituano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ituano x CRB
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Ituano and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Ituano.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ituano x CRB
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
