Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Santa Fe Betting tips for November 5 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Santa Fe, Tuesday, 5/11/2024

📅 5/11/2024 01:15

Atletico Nacional Medellin 2.02

X 3.00

Independiente Santa Fe 4.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Santa Fe:

🔮 Independiente Santa Fe wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Independiente Santa Fe, you can win up to $2000.00!

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Important information for your tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Santa Fe: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Nacional Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $128.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Santa Fe in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $25.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Atletico Nacional Medellin scored at least 1.0 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Independiente Santa Fe, Atletico Nacional Medellin scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Atletico Nacional Medellin is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Independiente Santa Fe has not lost any of them. 👉 Atletico Nacional Medellin has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Independiente Santa Fe.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Santa Fe?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Santa Fe, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Santa Fe for the Colombia Primera A – 5 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Santa Fe right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1216284 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Santa Fe

Is it worth betting on Atletico Nacional Medellin?

🔵 Atletico Nacional Medellin: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 490 times – profiting $499.80;
• And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$10.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $560.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Should you bet on Independiente Santa Fe?

🔴 Independiente Santa Fe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $720.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$40.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Santa Fe

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Atletico Nacional Medellin
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Santa Fe

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Atletico Nacional Medellin, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Atletico Nacional Medellin.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Atletico Nacional Medellin.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Santa Fe

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.