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Home » Predictions » Others » Swansea x Watford Betting tips for November 5 in England Championship
Tuesday, 05 November 2024, 20h00 England Championship
Swansea Swansea
PREDICTION Swansea wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
Watford Watford
ODD: @2.15 Don't miss this prediction!

Swansea x Watford Betting tips for November 5 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Swansea x Watford, Tuesday, 5/11/2024
📅 5/11/2024
20:00
Swansea Swansea
2.15
X
3.40
Watford Watford
3.30

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Swansea x Watford:

🔮 Swansea wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Swansea, you can win up to $1075.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Swansea x Watford:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Swansea in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-265.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Watford in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-120.0.
👉 In the last 6 Swansea matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 Watford matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Watford conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Swansea x Watford?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Swansea x Watford:

Analysis from Swansea x Watford for the England Championship – 5 of November

🏟️ Swansea X Watford – England Championship
📅 5 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Swansea – Winning probability: 56.92% | Fair line: 1.76
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.42% | Fair line: 4.46
🔴 Watford – Winning probability: 20.66% | Fair line: 4.84
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Swansea
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Swansea x Watford is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1216337 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Swansea x Watford

Is it a good idea to bet on Swansea?

🔵 Swansea: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $655.50
  • And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$225.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $528.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$252.00.

Is betting on Watford worth it?

🔴 Watford: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $483.00
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$307.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Swansea x Watford

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Swansea
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Swansea x Watford

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Swansea and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Swansea.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Swansea x Watford

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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