EC Bahia x Sao Paulo Betting tips for November 6 in Brazil Serie A
| 📅 6/11/2024 00:30 |
 EC Bahia2.12 |
X 3.20 |
Sao Paulo  3.46 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for EC Bahia x Sao Paulo:
🔮 EC Bahia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on EC Bahia, you can win up to $1060.00!
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Some important points for the tip for EC Bahia x Sao Paulo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on EC Bahia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-148.0. |
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Analysis from EC Bahia x Sao Paulo for the Brazil Serie A – 6 of November
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🏟️ EC Bahia X Sao Paulo – Brazil Serie A |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between EC Bahia and Sao Paulo.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1217445 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for EC Bahia x Sao Paulo
Should you bet on EC Bahia?
🔵 EC Bahia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $616.00;
- And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$166.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $594.00;
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Sao Paulo?
🔴 Sao Paulo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $418.20;
- And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$411.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match EC Bahia x Sao Paulo
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 EC Bahia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for EC Bahia x Sao Paulo
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 EC Bahia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 EC Bahia.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 EC Bahia.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for EC Bahia x Sao Paulo
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
