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Home » Predictions » Others » Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC Betting tips for November 6 in Colombia Primera A
Wednesday, 06 November 2024, 23h30 Colombia Primera A
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
PREDICTION Deportes Tolima wins Probability 93% 1 X 2
Envigado FC Envigado FC
ODD: @1.28 Don't miss this prediction!

Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC Betting tips for November 6 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC, Wednesday, 6/11/2024
📅 6/11/2024
23:30
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
1.28
X
4.77
Envigado FC Envigado FC
10.04

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC:

🔮 Deportes Tolima wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportes Tolima, you can win up to $640.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportes Tolima in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-205.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Envigado FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Envigado FC, Deportes Tolima scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Deportes Tolima matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC, with Deportes Tolima as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Envigado FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Deportes Tolima is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.
👉 Deportes Tolima has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Envigado FC playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Envigado FC as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC for the Colombia Primera A – 6 of November

🏟️ Deportes Tolima X Envigado FC – Colombia Primera A
📅 6 of November, 2024 – 23:30
🔵 Deportes Tolima – Winning probability: 93.82% | Fair line: 1.07
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.21% | Fair line: 19.2
🔴 Envigado FC – Winning probability: 0.97% | Fair line: 103.28
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Deportes Tolima
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1217445 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC

Should you bet on Deportes Tolima?

🔵 Deportes Tolima: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 93.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 940 times – having a profit of $263.20;
  • And would lose other 60 times – having a loss of -$60.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$203.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.77. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – profiting $188.50;
  • And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$761.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Envigado FC?

🔴 Envigado FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 10.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $90.40;
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$899.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Deportes Tolima
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Deportes Tolima and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Deportes Tolima.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Envigado FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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