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Home » Predictions » Others » Al Najma x Al Ain FC Betting tips for November 5 in Saudi Arabia Division 1
Tuesday, 05 November 2024, 15h00 Saudi Arabia Division 1
Al Najma Al Najma
PREDICTION Al Najma wins Probability 76% 1 X 2
Al Ain FC Al Ain FC
ODD: @1.58 Don't miss this prediction!

Al Najma x Al Ain FC Betting tips for November 5 in Saudi Arabia Division 1

Our betting tip for Al Najma x Al Ain FC, Tuesday, 5/11/2024
📅 5/11/2024
15:00
Al Najma Al Najma
1.58
X
3.61
Al Ain FC Al Ain FC
5.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Al Najma x Al Ain FC:

🔮 Al Najma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al Najma, you can win up to $790.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Al Najma x Al Ain FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Najma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $390.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Ain FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
👉 Al Ain FC did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Al Ain FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Al Ain FC as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Al Najma x Al Ain FC for the Saudi Arabia Division 1 – 5 of November

🏟️ Al Najma X Al Ain FC – Saudi Arabia Division 1
📅 5 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Al Najma – Winning probability: 76.73% | Fair line: 1.3
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.11% | Fair line: 5.84
🔴 Al Ain FC – Winning probability: 6.15% | Fair line: 16.25
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Al Najma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Najma x Al Ain FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1216337 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Najma x Al Ain FC

Is it worth betting on Al Najma?

🔵 Al Najma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 76.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 770 times – having a profit of $446.60;
  • And would have lost other 230 times – with a loss of -$230.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$216.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.61. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $443.70;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$386.30.

Is it worth betting on Al Ain FC?

🔴 Al Ain FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $240.00;
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$700.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Al Najma x Al Ain FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Al Najma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Najma x Al Ain FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Al Najma, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Al Najma.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Al Najma.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Najma x Al Ain FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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