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Home ยป Predictions ยป Champions League ยป Sparta Prague x Brest Betting tips for November 6 in UEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 06 November 2024, 20h00 UEFA Champions League
Sparta Prague Sparta Prague
PREDICTION Sparta Prague wins Probability 53% 1 X 2
Brest Brest
ODD: @2.24 Don't miss this prediction!

Sparta Prague x Brest Betting tips for November 6 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Sparta Prague x Brest, Wednesday, 6/11/2024
๐Ÿ“… 6/11/2024
20:00
Sparta Prague Sparta Prague
2.24
X
3.42
Brest Brest
3.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sparta Prague x Brest:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Sparta Prague wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sparta Prague, you can win up to $1120.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Sparta Prague x Brest:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sparta Prague in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-38.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Brest in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $310.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Sparta Prague scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 Sparta Prague matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Brest matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Sparta Prague x Brest for the UEFA Champions League โ€“ 6 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Sparta Prague X Brest โ€“ UEFA Champions League
๐Ÿ“… 6 of November, 2024 โ€“ 20:00
๐Ÿ”ต Sparta Prague โ€“ Winning probability: 53.40% | Fair line: 1.87
โšช Tied game โ€“ Probability of tied match: 17.49% | Fair line: 5.72
๐Ÿ”ด Brest โ€“ Winning probability: 29.11% | Fair line: 3.44
โš– Handicap 1ร—2: -0.25 Sparta Prague
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sparta Prague x Brest right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1217498 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sparta Prague x Brest

Should you bet on Sparta Prague?

๐Ÿ”ต Sparta Prague: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.24. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 530 times โ€“ this would give you a profit of $657.20
  • And would have lost other 470 times โ€“ with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$187.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times โ€“ profiting $411.40;
  • And would have lost other 830 times โ€“ with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$418.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Brest?

๐Ÿ”ด Brest: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times โ€“ profiting $609.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times โ€“ having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$101.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Sparta Prague x Brest

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: -0.25 Sparta Prague
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1ร—2 market for Sparta Prague x Brest

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Sparta Prague and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Sparta Prague. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1ร—2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sparta Prague x Brest

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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