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Home » Predictions » Others » AD San Carlos x Herediano Betting tips for November 7 in Costa Rica Primera Division
Thursday, 07 November 2024, 01h00 Costa Rica Primera Division
AD San Carlos AD San Carlos
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
Herediano Herediano
ODD: @3.25 Don't miss this prediction!

AD San Carlos x Herediano Betting tips for November 7 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for AD San Carlos x Herediano, Thursday, 7/11/2024
📅 7/11/2024
01:00
AD San Carlos AD San Carlos
2.20
X
3.25
Herediano Herediano
2.90

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AD San Carlos x Herediano:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for AD San Carlos x Herediano:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AD San Carlos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-199.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Herediano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-85.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, AD San Carlos scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Herediano, AD San Carlos scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Herediano has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from AD San Carlos x Herediano for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 7 of November

🏟️ AD San Carlos X Herediano – Costa Rica Primera Division
📅 7 of November, 2024 – 01:00
🔵 AD San Carlos – Winning probability: 42.21% | Fair line: 2.37
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.68% | Fair line: 2.97
🔴 Herediano – Winning probability: 24.12% | Fair line: 4.15
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 AD San Carlos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on AD San Carlos x Herediano is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1216337 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AD San Carlos x Herediano

Is it a good idea to bet on AD San Carlos?

🔵 AD San Carlos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
  • And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$76.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $765.00;
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$105.00.

Is it worth betting on Herediano?

🔴 Herediano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $456.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$304.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AD San Carlos x Herediano

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 AD San Carlos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD San Carlos x Herediano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 AD San Carlos, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 AD San Carlos.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 AD San Carlos.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD San Carlos x Herediano

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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