Deportivo Cali x Jaguares de Cordoba Betting tips for November 7 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Deportivo Cali x Jaguares de Cordoba, Thursday, 7/11/2024

📅 7/11/2024 01:30

Deportivo Cali 1.70

X 3.48

Jaguares de Cordoba 4.97

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Deportivo Cali x Jaguares de Cordoba:

🔮 Tied Match
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Important information for your tip for Deportivo Cali x Jaguares de Cordoba: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Cali in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-89.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Jaguares de Cordoba in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Jaguares de Cordoba scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Jaguares de Cordoba, Deportivo Cali scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Deportivo Cali matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Jaguares de Cordoba matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Jaguares de Cordoba conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Deportivo Cali has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Jaguares de Cordoba playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Jaguares de Cordoba as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Deportivo Cali x Jaguares de Cordoba for the Colombia Primera A – 7 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Deportivo Cali and Jaguares de Cordoba.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1216337 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Cali x Jaguares de Cordoba

Is it worth betting on Deportivo Cali?

🔵 Deportivo Cali: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $413.00;
• And would lose other 410 times – losing -$410.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$3.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $744.00
• And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$44.00.

Is it worth betting on Jaguares de Cordoba?

🔴 Jaguares de Cordoba: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.97. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – profiting $436.70;
• And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$453.30.

Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Cali x Jaguares de Cordoba

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Deportivo Cali
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Cali x Jaguares de Cordoba

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Deportivo Cali, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Deportivo Cali.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Deportivo Cali.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Cali x Jaguares de Cordoba

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.