Alajuelense x Sporting San Jose Betting tips for November 7 in Costa Rica Primera Division
| 📅 7/11/2024 02:00 |
 Alajuelense1.33 |
X 4.70 |
Sporting San Jose  7.50 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Alajuelense x Sporting San Jose:
🔮 Alajuelense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alajuelense, you can win up to $665.00!
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The main points for the tip for Alajuelense x Sporting San Jose: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alajuelense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-46.0. |
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Analysis from Alajuelense x Sporting San Jose for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 7 of November
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🏟️ Alajuelense X Sporting San Jose – Costa Rica Primera Division |
When the best bet on Alajuelense x Sporting San Jose is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1216337 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Alajuelense x Sporting San Jose
Should you bet on Alajuelense?
🔵 Alajuelense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 88.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 880 times – profiting $290.40;
- And would have lost other 120 times – with a loss of -$120.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$170.40.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $333.00
- And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$577.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Sporting San Jose?
🔴 Sporting San Jose: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $195.00;
- And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$775.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Alajuelense x Sporting San Jose
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Alajuelense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alajuelense x Sporting San Jose
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Alajuelense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Alajuelense.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Alajuelense.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alajuelense x Sporting San Jose
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
