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Home » Predictions » Others » Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas Betting tips for November 9 in Colombia Primera A
Saturday, 09 November 2024, 01h20 Colombia Primera A
Independiente Santa Fe Independiente Santa Fe
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 37% 1 X 2
Once Caldas Once Caldas
ODD: @3.07 Don't miss this prediction!

Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas Betting tips for November 9 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas, Saturday, 9/11/2024
📅 9/11/2024
01:20
Independiente Santa Fe Independiente Santa Fe
2.22
X
3.07
Once Caldas Once Caldas
3.10

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1535.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Santa Fe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-350.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Once Caldas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $30.0.
👉 In the last 4 Once Caldas matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Independiente Santa Fe conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas:

Analysis from Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas for the Colombia Primera A – 9 of November

🏟️ Independiente Santa Fe X Once Caldas – Colombia Primera A
📅 9 of November, 2024 – 01:20
🔵 Independiente Santa Fe – Winning probability: 41.27% | Fair line: 2.42
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 37.17% | Fair line: 2.69
🔴 Once Caldas – Winning probability: 21.56% | Fair line: 4.64
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Independiente Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1217498 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas

Should you bet on Independiente Santa Fe?

🔵 Independiente Santa Fe: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $500.20;
  • And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$89.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.07. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $765.90
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$135.90.

Is betting on Once Caldas worth it?

🔴 Once Caldas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $462.00;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$318.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Independiente Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Independiente Santa Fe, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Independiente Santa Fe.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Santa Fe x Once Caldas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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