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Home » Predictions » Europa League » TSG Hoffenheim x Lyon Betting tips for November 7 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 07 November 2024, 20h00 UEFA Europa League
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
PREDICTION TSG Hoffenheim wins Probability 49% 1 X 2
Lyon Lyon
ODD: @2.41 Don't miss this prediction!

TSG Hoffenheim x Lyon Betting tips for November 7 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for TSG Hoffenheim x Lyon, Thursday, 7/11/2024
📅 7/11/2024
20:00
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
2.41
X
3.60
Lyon Lyon
2.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for TSG Hoffenheim x Lyon:

🔮 TSG Hoffenheim wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on TSG Hoffenheim, you can win up to $1205.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for TSG Hoffenheim x Lyon:

👉 If you had bet $100 on TSG Hoffenheim in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $15.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lyon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $218.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Lyon scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, TSG Hoffenheim conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Lyon has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from TSG Hoffenheim x Lyon for the UEFA Europa League – 7 of November

🏟️ TSG Hoffenheim X Lyon – UEFA Europa League
📅 7 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 TSG Hoffenheim – Winning probability: 49.97% | Fair line: 2.0
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.31% | Fair line: 6.53
🔴 Lyon – Winning probability: 34.72% | Fair line: 2.88
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 TSG Hoffenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for TSG Hoffenheim x Lyon right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1217748 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for TSG Hoffenheim x Lyon

Is it a good idea to bet on TSG Hoffenheim?

🔵 TSG Hoffenheim: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.41. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – profiting $705.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$205.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $390.00
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$460.00.

Should you bet on Lyon?

🔴 Lyon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $560.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$90.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match TSG Hoffenheim x Lyon

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 TSG Hoffenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for TSG Hoffenheim x Lyon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 TSG Hoffenheim and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 TSG Hoffenheim.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 TSG Hoffenheim.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for TSG Hoffenheim x Lyon

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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