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Home » Predictions » Europa League » Lazio x FC Porto Betting tips for November 7 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 07 November 2024, 20h00 UEFA Europa League
Lazio Lazio
PREDICTION Lazio wins Probability 54% 1 X 2
FC Porto FC Porto
ODD: @2.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Lazio x FC Porto Betting tips for November 7 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Lazio x FC Porto, Thursday, 7/11/2024
📅 7/11/2024
20:00
Lazio Lazio
2.20
X
3.40
FC Porto FC Porto
3.17

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lazio x FC Porto:

🔮 Lazio wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lazio, you can win up to $1100.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Lazio x FC Porto:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $304.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Porto in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-86.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Lazio scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, FC Porto scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Lazio matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 FC Porto matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Lazio is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Lazio x FC Porto for the UEFA Europa League – 7 of November

🏟️ Lazio X FC Porto – UEFA Europa League
📅 7 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Lazio – Winning probability: 54.00% | Fair line: 1.85
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.18% | Fair line: 4.95
🔴 FC Porto – Winning probability: 25.81% | Fair line: 3.87
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lazio
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Lazio x FC Porto is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1217827 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lazio x FC Porto

Should you bet on Lazio?

🔵 Lazio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $648.00
  • And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$188.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $480.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$320.00.

Is it worth betting on FC Porto?

🔴 FC Porto: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.17. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $564.20;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$175.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Lazio x FC Porto

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lazio
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lazio x FC Porto

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Lazio and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Lazio. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lazio x FC Porto

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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