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Home » Predictions » Europa League » Viktoria Plzen x Real Sociedad Betting tips for November 7 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 07 November 2024, 20h00 UEFA Europa League
Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen
PREDICTION Real Sociedad Wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
ODD: @1.76 Don't miss this prediction!

Viktoria Plzen x Real Sociedad Betting tips for November 7 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Viktoria Plzen x Real Sociedad, Thursday, 7/11/2024
📅 7/11/2024
20:00
Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen
4.60
X
3.60
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
1.76

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Viktoria Plzen x Real Sociedad:

🔮 Real Sociedad wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Sociedad, you can win up to $880.00!

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The main points for the tip for Viktoria Plzen x Real Sociedad:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Viktoria Plzen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $10.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Sociedad in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $172.0.
👉 Viktoria Plzen did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Real Sociedad scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Viktoria Plzen matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Real Sociedad has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Viktoria Plzen x Real Sociedad for the UEFA Europa League – 7 of November

🏟️ Viktoria Plzen X Real Sociedad – UEFA Europa League
📅 7 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Viktoria Plzen – Winning probability: 21.11% | Fair line: 4.74
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.42% | Fair line: 5.43
🔴 Real Sociedad – Winning probability: 60.47% | Fair line: 1.65
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Viktoria Plzen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Viktoria Plzen x Real Sociedad right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1217748 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Viktoria Plzen x Real Sociedad

Is betting on Viktoria Plzen worth it?

🔵 Viktoria Plzen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $756.00;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$34.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $468.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$352.00.

Is betting on Real Sociedad worth it?

🔴 Real Sociedad: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – profiting $456.00;
  • And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$56.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Viktoria Plzen x Real Sociedad

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Viktoria Plzen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Viktoria Plzen x Real Sociedad

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Viktoria Plzen, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Viktoria Plzen.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Viktoria Plzen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Viktoria Plzen x Real Sociedad

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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