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Home » Predictions » Others » Defensa y Justicia x Argentinos Jrs Betting tips for November 7 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Thursday, 07 November 2024, 22h00 Argentina Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia
PREDICTION Argentinos Jrs Wins Probability 39% 1 X 2
Argentinos Jrs Argentinos Jrs
ODD: @3.06 Don't miss this prediction!

Defensa y Justicia x Argentinos Jrs Betting tips for November 7 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Defensa y Justicia x Argentinos Jrs, Thursday, 7/11/2024
📅 7/11/2024
22:00
Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia
2.42
X
2.90
Argentinos Jrs Argentinos Jrs
3.06

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Defensa y Justicia x Argentinos Jrs:

🔮 Argentinos Jrs wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Argentinos Jrs, you can win up to $1530.00!

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The main points for the tip for Defensa y Justicia x Argentinos Jrs:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Defensa y Justicia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $145.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Argentinos Jrs in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Defensa y Justicia has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Argentinos Jrs playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Defensa y Justicia x Argentinos Jrs for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 7 of November

🏟️ Defensa y Justicia X Argentinos Jrs – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 7 of November, 2024 – 22:00
🔵 Defensa y Justicia – Winning probability: 28.52% | Fair line: 3.51
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.85% | Fair line: 3.14
🔴 Argentinos Jrs – Winning probability: 39.64% | Fair line: 2.52
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Defensa y Justicia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Defensa y Justicia and Argentinos Jrs.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1218004 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Defensa y Justicia x Argentinos Jrs

Is betting on Defensa y Justicia worth it?

🔵 Defensa y Justicia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $411.80;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$298.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $608.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$72.00.

Is betting on Argentinos Jrs worth it?

🔴 Argentinos Jrs: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.06. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $824.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$224.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Defensa y Justicia x Argentinos Jrs

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Defensa y Justicia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Defensa y Justicia x Argentinos Jrs

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Defensa y Justicia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Defensa y Justicia.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Defensa y Justicia x Argentinos Jrs

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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