Velez Sarsfield x CA Tigre Betting tips for November 8 in Argentina Liga Profesional
| 📅 8/11/2024 00:15 |
 Velez Sarsfield1.48 |
X 3.94 |
CA Tigre  6.50 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Velez Sarsfield x CA Tigre:
🔮 Velez Sarsfield wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Velez Sarsfield, you can win up to $740.00!
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Important information for your tip for Velez Sarsfield x CA Tigre: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Velez Sarsfield in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $243.0. |
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Analysis from Velez Sarsfield x CA Tigre for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 8 of November
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🏟️ Velez Sarsfield X CA Tigre – Argentina Liga Profesional |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Velez Sarsfield x CA Tigre right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1217498 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Velez Sarsfield x CA Tigre
Is it worth betting on Velez Sarsfield?
🔵 Velez Sarsfield: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 84.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 840 times – having a profit of $403.20;
- And would have lost other 160 times – with a loss of -$160.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$243.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $382.20
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$487.80.
Is betting on CA Tigre worth it?
🔴 CA Tigre: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $165.00;
- And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$805.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Velez Sarsfield x CA Tigre
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Velez Sarsfield
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Velez Sarsfield x CA Tigre
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Velez Sarsfield and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Velez Sarsfield.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Velez Sarsfield x CA Tigre
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
