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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Union Berlin x SC Freiburg Betting tips for November 8 in Germany Bundesliga I
Friday, 08 November 2024, 19h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Union Berlin Union Berlin
PREDICTION Union Berlin wins Probability 53% 1 X 2
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
ODD: @2.43 Don't miss this prediction!

Union Berlin x SC Freiburg Betting tips for November 8 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Union Berlin x SC Freiburg, Friday, 8/11/2024
📅 8/11/2024
19:30
Union Berlin Union Berlin
2.43
X
3.31
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
2.85

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Union Berlin x SC Freiburg:

🔮 Union Berlin wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Union Berlin, you can win up to $1215.00!

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The main points for the tip for Union Berlin x SC Freiburg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Berlin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $226.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Freiburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $140.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Union Berlin scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, SC Freiburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Union Berlin conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Union Berlin has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against SC Freiburg playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Union Berlin x SC Freiburg for the Germany Bundesliga I – 8 of November

🏟️ Union Berlin X SC Freiburg – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 8 of November, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 Union Berlin – Winning probability: 53.29% | Fair line: 1.88
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.41% | Fair line: 3.94
🔴 SC Freiburg – Winning probability: 21.30% | Fair line: 4.69
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Union Berlin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Union Berlin and SC Freiburg.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1218236 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Union Berlin x SC Freiburg

Should you bet on Union Berlin?

🔵 Union Berlin: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.43. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $757.90;
  • And would lose other 470 times – losing -$470.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$287.90.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $577.50;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$172.50.

Is betting on SC Freiburg worth it?

🔴 SC Freiburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $388.50
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$401.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Union Berlin x SC Freiburg

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Union Berlin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Union Berlin x SC Freiburg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Union Berlin, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Union Berlin.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Union Berlin x SC Freiburg

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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