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Home » Predictions » Marseille x Auxerre Betting tips for November 8 in France Ligue 1
Friday, 08 November 2024, 19h45 France Ligue 1
Marseille Marseille
PREDICTION Marseille wins Probability 87% 1 X 2
Auxerre Auxerre
ODD: @1.39 Don't miss this prediction!

Marseille x Auxerre Betting tips for November 8 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Marseille x Auxerre, Friday, 8/11/2024
📅 8/11/2024
19:45
Marseille Marseille
1.39
X
5.00
Auxerre Auxerre
6.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Marseille x Auxerre:

🔮 Marseille wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Marseille, you can win up to $695.00!

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Important information for your tip for Marseille x Auxerre:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Marseille in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-186.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Auxerre in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Auxerre scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Auxerre matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Marseille received red cards in the last 3 matches as the home team.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Auxerre conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Marseille x Auxerre for the France Ligue 1 – 8 of November

🏟️ Marseille X Auxerre – France Ligue 1
📅 8 of November, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Marseille – Winning probability: 87.51% | Fair line: 1.14
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.55% | Fair line: 15.27
🔴 Auxerre – Winning probability: 5.94% | Fair line: 16.83
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Marseille
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Marseille and Auxerre.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1217748 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Marseille x Auxerre

Should you bet on Marseille?

🔵 Marseille: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 87.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.39. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 880 times – this would give you a profit of $343.20
  • And would lose other 120 times – having a loss of -$120.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$223.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – profiting $280.00;
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$650.00.

Should you bet on Auxerre?

🔴 Auxerre: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $336.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$604.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Marseille x Auxerre

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Marseille
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marseille x Auxerre

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Marseille and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Marseille.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Auxerre.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marseille x Auxerre

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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