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Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » Internacional x Fluminense Betting tips for November 8 in Brazil Serie A
Friday, 08 November 2024, 22h00 Brazil Serie A
Internacional Internacional
PREDICTION Internacional wins Probability 80% 1 X 2
Fluminense Fluminense
ODD: @1.64 Don't miss this prediction!

Internacional x Fluminense Betting tips for November 8 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Internacional x Fluminense, Friday, 8/11/2024
📅 8/11/2024
22:00
Internacional Internacional
1.64
X
3.60
Fluminense Fluminense
5.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Internacional x Fluminense:

🔮 Internacional wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Internacional, you can win up to $820.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Internacional x Fluminense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Internacional in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $108.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fluminense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $25.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Internacional scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Internacional matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Internacional x Fluminense for the Brazil Serie A – 8 of November

🏟️ Internacional X Fluminense – Brazil Serie A
📅 8 of November, 2024 – 22:00
🔵 Internacional – Winning probability: 80.75% | Fair line: 1.24
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.27% | Fair line: 7.01
🔴 Fluminense – Winning probability: 4.98% | Fair line: 20.08
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Internacional
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Internacional x Fluminense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218313 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Internacional x Fluminense

Is it worth betting on Internacional?

🔵 Internacional: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 80.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 810 times – this would give you a profit of $518.40
  • And would have lost other 190 times – with a loss of -$190.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$328.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $364.00
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$496.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Fluminense?

🔴 Fluminense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – profiting $230.00;
  • And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$720.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Internacional x Fluminense

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Internacional
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Internacional x Fluminense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Internacional and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Internacional.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Internacional.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Internacional x Fluminense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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