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Home » Predictions » Others » Racing Club de Montevideo x Nacional De Football Betting tips for November 8 in Uruguay Clausura
Friday, 08 November 2024, 23h30 Uruguay Clausura
Racing Club de Montevideo Racing Club de Montevideo
PREDICTION Nacional De Football Wins Probability 73% 1 X 2
Nacional De Football Nacional De Football
ODD: @1.6 Don't miss this prediction!

Racing Club de Montevideo x Nacional De Football Betting tips for November 8 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Racing Club de Montevideo x Nacional De Football, Friday, 8/11/2024
📅 8/11/2024
23:30
Racing Club de Montevideo Racing Club de Montevideo
4.82
X
3.79
Nacional De Football Nacional De Football
1.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Racing Club de Montevideo x Nacional De Football:

🔮 Nacional De Football wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nacional De Football, you can win up to $800.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Racing Club de Montevideo x Nacional De Football:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Racing Club de Montevideo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-112.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional De Football in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $75.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Nacional De Football scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Nacional De Football, Racing Club de Montevideo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Racing Club de Montevideo conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Nacional De Football.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Racing Club de Montevideo x Nacional De Football?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Racing Club de Montevideo x Nacional De Football:

Analysis from Racing Club de Montevideo x Nacional De Football for the Uruguay Clausura – 8 of November

🏟️ Racing Club de Montevideo X Nacional De Football – Uruguay Clausura
📅 8 of November, 2024 – 23:30
🔵 Racing Club de Montevideo – Winning probability: 6.48% | Fair line: 15.42
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.94% | Fair line: 5.01
🔴 Nacional De Football – Winning probability: 73.57% | Fair line: 1.36
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Racing Club de Montevideo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Racing Club de Montevideo x Nacional De Football is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1218333 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Racing Club de Montevideo x Nacional De Football

Is it a good idea to bet on Racing Club de Montevideo?

🔵 Racing Club de Montevideo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $229.20
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$710.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.79. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $558.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$242.00.

Is betting on Nacional De Football worth it?

🔴 Nacional De Football: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 73.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 740 times – profiting $444.00;
  • And would have lost other 260 times – with a loss of -$260.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$184.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Racing Club de Montevideo x Nacional De Football

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Racing Club de Montevideo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Racing Club de Montevideo x Nacional De Football

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Racing Club de Montevideo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Racing Club de Montevideo.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Racing Club de Montevideo x Nacional De Football

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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