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Home » Predictions » Others » Tepatitlan FC x Tapatio Betting tips for November 8 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
Friday, 08 November 2024, 01h00 Mexico Liga de Expansion
Tepatitlan FC Tepatitlan FC
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
Tapatio Tapatio
ODD: @3.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Tepatitlan FC x Tapatio Betting tips for November 8 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Tepatitlan FC x Tapatio, Friday, 8/11/2024
📅 8/11/2024
01:00
Tepatitlan FC Tepatitlan FC
2.90
X
3.25
Tapatio Tapatio
2.26

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Tepatitlan FC x Tapatio:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1625.00!

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Important information for your tip for Tepatitlan FC x Tapatio:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Tepatitlan FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $142.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tapatio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-60.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Tepatitlan FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Tapatio scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Tepatitlan FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Tepatitlan FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Tapatio has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Tepatitlan FC x Tapatio?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Tepatitlan FC x Tapatio, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Tepatitlan FC x Tapatio for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 8 of November

🏟️ Tepatitlan FC X Tapatio – Mexico Liga de Expansion
📅 8 of November, 2024 – 01:00
🔵 Tepatitlan FC – Winning probability: 29.93% | Fair line: 3.34
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.99% | Fair line: 2.94
🔴 Tapatio – Winning probability: 36.08% | Fair line: 2.77
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Tepatitlan FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Tepatitlan FC x Tapatio is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218004 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tepatitlan FC x Tapatio

Should you bet on Tepatitlan FC?

🔵 Tepatitlan FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $570.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$130.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $765.00;
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$105.00.

Should you bet on Tapatio?

🔴 Tapatio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.26. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $453.60;
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$186.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tepatitlan FC x Tapatio

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Tepatitlan FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tepatitlan FC x Tapatio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Tepatitlan FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Tepatitlan FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Tepatitlan FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tepatitlan FC x Tapatio

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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