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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » St Pauli x Bayern Munich Betting tips for November 9 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 09 November 2024, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
St Pauli St Pauli
PREDICTION Bayern Munich Wins Probability 96% 1 X 2
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
ODD: @1.25 Don't miss this prediction!

St Pauli x Bayern Munich Betting tips for November 9 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for St Pauli x Bayern Munich, Saturday, 9/11/2024
📅 9/11/2024
14:30
St Pauli St Pauli
9.20
X
6.38
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
1.25

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for St Pauli x Bayern Munich:

🔮 Bayern Munich wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bayern Munich, you can win up to $625.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for St Pauli x Bayern Munich:

👉 If you had bet $100 on St Pauli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayern Munich in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-264.0.
👉 St Pauli did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Bayern Munich scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Bayern Munich matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on St Pauli x Bayern Munich?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on St Pauli x Bayern Munich, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from St Pauli x Bayern Munich for the Germany Bundesliga I – 9 of November

🏟️ St Pauli X Bayern Munich – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 9 of November, 2024 – 14:30
🔵 St Pauli – Winning probability: 1.95% | Fair line: 51.3
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.49% | Fair line: 67.03
🔴 Bayern Munich – Winning probability: 96.56% | Fair line: 1.04
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.75 St Pauli
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on St Pauli x Bayern Munich is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218440 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for St Pauli x Bayern Munich

Is it a good idea to bet on St Pauli?

🔵 St Pauli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 9.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $164.00
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$816.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $53.80;
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$936.20.

Should you bet on Bayern Munich?

🔴 Bayern Munich: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 96.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 970 times – this would give you a profit of $242.50
  • And would lose other 30 times – losing -$30.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$212.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match St Pauli x Bayern Munich

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.75 St Pauli
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for St Pauli x Bayern Munich

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.75 St Pauli and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.75 St Pauli.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for St Pauli x Bayern Munich

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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