Mainz x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for November 9 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Mainz x Borussia Dortmund, Saturday, 9/11/2024

📅 9/11/2024 14:30

Mainz 3.25

X 3.75

Borussia Dortmund 2.04

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Mainz x Borussia Dortmund:

🔮 Borussia Dortmund wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Borussia Dortmund, you can win up to $1020.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Mainz x Borussia Dortmund: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mainz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Dortmund in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 10 matches as the home team, Mainz conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Borussia Dortmund conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Borussia Dortmund as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Mainz x Borussia Dortmund?

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Analysis from Mainz x Borussia Dortmund for the Germany Bundesliga I – 9 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Mainz and Borussia Dortmund.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218440 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mainz x Borussia Dortmund

Is betting on Mainz worth it?

🔵 Mainz: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $562.50;
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$187.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$325.00.

Is betting on Borussia Dortmund worth it?

🔴 Borussia Dortmund: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $592.80;
• And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$162.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mainz x Borussia Dortmund

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Mainz
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mainz x Borussia Dortmund

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Mainz, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Mainz.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Borussia Dortmund.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mainz x Borussia Dortmund

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.