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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Strasbourg x Monaco Betting tips for November 9 in France Ligue 1
Saturday, 09 November 2024, 16h00 France Ligue 1
Strasbourg Strasbourg
PREDICTION Monaco Wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
Monaco Monaco
ODD: @2 Don't miss this prediction!

Strasbourg x Monaco Betting tips for November 9 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Strasbourg x Monaco, Saturday, 9/11/2024
📅 9/11/2024
16:00
Strasbourg Strasbourg
3.40
X
3.78
Monaco Monaco
2.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Strasbourg x Monaco:

🔮 Monaco wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Monaco, you can win up to $1000.00!

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Important information for your tip for Strasbourg x Monaco:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Strasbourg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $310.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Monaco in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $195.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Strasbourg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Monaco scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Strasbourg x Monaco for the France Ligue 1 – 9 of November

🏟️ Strasbourg X Monaco – France Ligue 1
📅 9 of November, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Strasbourg – Winning probability: 22.97% | Fair line: 4.35
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.51% | Fair line: 5.4
🔴 Monaco – Winning probability: 58.52% | Fair line: 1.71
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Strasbourg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Strasbourg x Monaco is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1218440 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Strasbourg x Monaco

Should you bet on Strasbourg?

🔵 Strasbourg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $552.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$218.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $528.20;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$281.80.

Should you bet on Monaco?

🔴 Monaco: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $590.00;
  • And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$180.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Strasbourg x Monaco

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Strasbourg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Strasbourg x Monaco

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Strasbourg and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Strasbourg.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Strasbourg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Strasbourg x Monaco

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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