Deportes Iquique x Union Espanola Betting tips for November 9 in Chile Primera Division

Our betting tip for Deportes Iquique x Union Espanola, Saturday, 9/11/2024

📅 9/11/2024 21:00

Deportes Iquique 2.05

X 3.60

Union Espanola 3.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Deportes Iquique x Union Espanola:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Deportes Iquique x Union Espanola

Some important points for the tip for Deportes Iquique x Union Espanola: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportes Iquique in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $350.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Espanola in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $275.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Deportes Iquique scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Union Espanola scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Deportes Iquique matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Deportes Iquique conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Union Espanola. 👉 Union Espanola is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 away matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession. 👉 Deportes Iquique is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Union Espanola is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Analysis from Deportes Iquique x Union Espanola for the Chile Primera Division – 9 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Deportes Iquique x Union Espanola right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218775 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportes Iquique x Union Espanola

Is it a good idea to bet on Deportes Iquique?

🔵 Deportes Iquique: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $535.50;
• And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$45.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $520.00
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.

Is it worth betting on Union Espanola?

🔴 Union Espanola: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $580.00
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$130.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match Deportes Iquique x Union Espanola

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Deportes Iquique
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportes Iquique x Union Espanola

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Deportes Iquique and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Deportes Iquique.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Deportes Iquique.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportes Iquique x Union Espanola

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.