Sao Paulo x Athletico Paranaense Betting tips for November 10 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Sao Paulo x Athletico Paranaense, Sunday, 10/11/2024

📅 10/11/2024 00:00

Sao Paulo 1.64

X 3.60

Athletico Paranaense 5.28

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sao Paulo x Athletico Paranaense:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Sao Paulo x Athletico Paranaense

Some important points for the tip for Sao Paulo x Athletico Paranaense: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sao Paulo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-82.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Athletico Paranaense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Sao Paulo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Athletico Paranaense conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Sao Paulo has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Athletico Paranaense playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Athletico Paranaense as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Sao Paulo x Athletico Paranaense?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Sao Paulo x Athletico Paranaense for the Brazil Serie A – 10 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sao Paulo and Athletico Paranaense.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218775 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sao Paulo x Athletico Paranaense

Should you bet on Sao Paulo?

🔵 Sao Paulo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $403.20;
• And would lose other 370 times – losing -$370.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$33.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $650.00;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$100.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Athletico Paranaense?

🔴 Athletico Paranaense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $513.60;
• And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$366.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sao Paulo x Athletico Paranaense

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Sao Paulo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sao Paulo x Athletico Paranaense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Sao Paulo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Sao Paulo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Sao Paulo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sao Paulo x Athletico Paranaense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.