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Home » Predictions » Atalanta x Udinese Betting tips for November 10 in Italy Serie A
Sunday, 10 November 2024, 11h30 Italy Serie A
Atalanta Atalanta
PREDICTION Atalanta wins Probability 84% 1 X 2
Udinese Udinese
ODD: @1.36 Don't miss this prediction!

Atalanta x Udinese Betting tips for November 10 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Atalanta x Udinese, Sunday, 10/11/2024
📅 10/11/2024
11:30
Atalanta Atalanta
1.36
X
5.00
Udinese Udinese
7.96

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Atalanta x Udinese:

🔮 Atalanta wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atalanta, you can win up to $680.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Atalanta x Udinese:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atalanta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-93.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Udinese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Atalanta x Udinese, with Atalanta as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Udinese conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Atalanta has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Udinese playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Udinese as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Atalanta x Udinese for the Italy Serie A – 10 of November

🏟️ Atalanta X Udinese – Italy Serie A
📅 10 of November, 2024 – 11:30
🔵 Atalanta – Winning probability: 84.15% | Fair line: 1.19
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.49% | Fair line: 8.7
🔴 Udinese – Winning probability: 4.36% | Fair line: 22.94
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Atalanta
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Atalanta x Udinese is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1218874 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atalanta x Udinese

Is betting on Atalanta worth it?

🔵 Atalanta: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 84.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 840 times – having a profit of $302.40;
  • And would lose other 160 times – losing -$160.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$142.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $440.00
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$450.00.

Is betting on Udinese worth it?

🔴 Udinese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.96. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $278.40;
  • And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$681.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atalanta x Udinese

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Atalanta
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atalanta x Udinese

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Atalanta, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Atalanta.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Udinese.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atalanta x Udinese

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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