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free bonus kenya betting
Home Β» Predictions Β» AFC Leopards x Mara Sugar FC Betting tips for November 10 in Kenya Premier League
Sunday, 10 November 2024, 12h00 Kenya Premier League
AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
PREDICTION No tip
Mara Sugar FC Mara Sugar FC
Don't miss this prediction!

AFC Leopards x Mara Sugar FC Betting tips for November 10 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for AFC Leopards x Mara Sugar FC, Sunday, 10/11/2024
πŸ“… 10/11/2024
12:00
AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
2.10
X
3.10
Mara Sugar FC Mara Sugar FC
3.45

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AFC Leopards x Mara Sugar FC:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for AFC Leopards x Mara Sugar FC

Some important points for the tip for AFC Leopards x Mara Sugar FC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mara Sugar FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-64.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Mara Sugar FC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on AFC Leopards x Mara Sugar FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AFC Leopards x Mara Sugar FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from AFC Leopards x Mara Sugar FC for the Kenya Premier League – 10 of November

🏟️ AFC Leopards X Mara Sugar FC – Kenya Premier League
πŸ“… 10 of November, 2024 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ AFC Leopards – Winning probability: 49.56% | Fair line: 2.02
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.45% | Fair line: 3.51
πŸ”΄ Mara Sugar FC – Winning probability: 21.99% | Fair line: 4.55
βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: -0.25 AFC Leopards
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AFC Leopards and Mara Sugar FC.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218874 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AFC Leopards x Mara Sugar FC

Is it a good idea to bet on AFC Leopards?

πŸ”΅ AFC Leopards: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $550.00
  • And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$50.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $588.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$132.00.

Is it worth betting on Mara Sugar FC?

πŸ”΄ Mara Sugar FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $539.00;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$241.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AFC Leopards x Mara Sugar FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: -0.25 AFC Leopards
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1Γ—2 market for AFC Leopards x Mara Sugar FC

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 AFC Leopards and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 AFC Leopards.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1Γ—2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AFC Leopards x Mara Sugar FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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