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Home » Predictions » FC Twente x Ajax Betting tips for November 10 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Sunday, 10 November 2024, 13h30 Netherlands Eredivisie
FC Twente FC Twente
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 31% 1 X 2
Ajax Ajax
ODD: @3.5 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Twente x Ajax Betting tips for November 10 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for FC Twente x Ajax, Sunday, 10/11/2024
📅 10/11/2024
13:30
FC Twente FC Twente
2.49
X
3.50
Ajax Ajax
2.65

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FC Twente x Ajax:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for FC Twente x Ajax:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Twente in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-118.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ajax in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $381.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Ajax scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, FC Twente conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Ajax.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Ajax has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Twente x Ajax for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 10 of November

🏟️ FC Twente X Ajax – Netherlands Eredivisie
📅 10 of November, 2024 – 13:30
🔵 FC Twente – Winning probability: 29.07% | Fair line: 3.44
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.23% | Fair line: 3.2
🔴 Ajax – Winning probability: 39.71% | Fair line: 2.52
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FC Twente
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Twente and Ajax.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1218874 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Twente x Ajax

Should you bet on FC Twente?

🔵 FC Twente: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.49. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $432.10;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$277.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $775.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$85.00.

Is it worth betting on Ajax?

🔴 Ajax: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$60.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Twente x Ajax

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FC Twente
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Twente x Ajax

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 FC Twente, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 FC Twente.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 FC Twente.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Twente x Ajax

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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