Fiorentina x Verona Betting tips for November 10 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Fiorentina x Verona, Sunday, 10/11/2024

📅 10/11/2024 14:00

Fiorentina 1.42

X 4.60

Verona 7.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Fiorentina x Verona:

🔮 Verona wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Verona, you can win up to $3500.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Fiorentina x Verona: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fiorentina in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $401.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Verona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-110.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Fiorentina scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Verona, Fiorentina scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Fiorentina x Verona, with Fiorentina as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Verona conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Fiorentina is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Fiorentina has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Verona playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Verona as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Fiorentina x Verona for the Italy Serie A – 10 of November

When the best bet on Fiorentina x Verona is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218874 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fiorentina x Verona

Should you bet on Fiorentina?

🔵 Fiorentina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 690 times – profiting $289.80;
• And would have lost other 310 times – with a loss of -$310.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$20.20.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $432.00;
• And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$448.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Verona?

🔴 Verona: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $1200.00
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$400.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fiorentina x Verona

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Fiorentina
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fiorentina x Verona

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Fiorentina and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Fiorentina.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Verona.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fiorentina x Verona

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.