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Home Β» Predictions Β» Palestino x Audax Italiano Betting tips for November 10 in Chile Primera Division
Sunday, 10 November 2024, 15h00 Chile Primera Division
Palestino Palestino
PREDICTION No tip
Audax Italiano Audax Italiano
Don't miss this prediction!

Palestino x Audax Italiano Betting tips for November 10 in Chile Primera Division

Our betting tip for Palestino x Audax Italiano, Sunday, 10/11/2024
πŸ“… 10/11/2024
15:00
Palestino Palestino
1.62
X
3.76
Audax Italiano Audax Italiano
4.79

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Palestino x Audax Italiano:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Palestino x Audax Italiano

Important information for your tip for Palestino x Audax Italiano:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Palestino in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Audax Italiano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Palestino scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Audax Italiano scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Palestino conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Audax Italiano.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Palestino x Audax Italiano?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Palestino x Audax Italiano, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Palestino x Audax Italiano for the Chile Primera Division – 10 of November

🏟️ Palestino X Audax Italiano – Chile Primera Division
πŸ“… 10 of November, 2024 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Palestino – Winning probability: 62.03% | Fair line: 1.61
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.76% | Fair line: 4.6
πŸ”΄ Audax Italiano – Winning probability: 16.20% | Fair line: 6.17
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Palestino
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Palestino x Audax Italiano is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218874 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Palestino x Audax Italiano

Is it worth betting on Palestino?

πŸ”΅ Palestino: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 620 times – this would give you a profit of $384.40
  • And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$4.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $607.20;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$172.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Audax Italiano?

πŸ”΄ Audax Italiano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.79. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $606.40
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$233.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Palestino x Audax Italiano

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Palestino
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Palestino x Audax Italiano

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Palestino and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Palestino.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Palestino x Audax Italiano

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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