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Home Β» Predictions Β» OHiggins x Cobreloa Betting tips for November 10 in Chile Primera Division
Sunday, 10 November 2024, 15h00 Chile Primera Division
OHiggins OHiggins
PREDICTION No tip
Cobreloa Cobreloa
Don't miss this prediction!

OHiggins x Cobreloa Betting tips for November 10 in Chile Primera Division

Our betting tip for OHiggins x Cobreloa, Sunday, 10/11/2024
πŸ“… 10/11/2024
15:00
OHiggins OHiggins
1.91
X
3.50
Cobreloa Cobreloa
3.65

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for OHiggins x Cobreloa:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for OHiggins x Cobreloa

Important information for your tip for OHiggins x Cobreloa:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on OHiggins in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cobreloa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, OHiggins conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Cobreloa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Cobreloa as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from OHiggins x Cobreloa for the Chile Primera Division – 10 of November

🏟️ OHiggins X Cobreloa – Chile Primera Division
πŸ“… 10 of November, 2024 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ OHiggins – Winning probability: 52.54% | Fair line: 1.9
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.38% | Fair line: 4.68
πŸ”΄ Cobreloa – Winning probability: 26.07% | Fair line: 3.84
βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 OHiggins
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between OHiggins and Cobreloa.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1218874 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for OHiggins x Cobreloa

Should you bet on OHiggins?

πŸ”΅ OHiggins: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $482.30
  • And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$12.30, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $525.00;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$265.00.

Should you bet on Cobreloa?

πŸ”΄ Cobreloa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $689.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$51.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match OHiggins x Cobreloa

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 OHiggins
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for OHiggins x Cobreloa

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 OHiggins, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 OHiggins.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 OHiggins.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for OHiggins x Cobreloa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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