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Home » Predictions » AZ x Willem II Betting tips for November 10 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Sunday, 10 November 2024, 15h45 Netherlands Eredivisie
AZ AZ
PREDICTION AZ wins Probability 83% 1 X 2
Willem II Willem II
ODD: @1.42 Don't miss this prediction!

AZ x Willem II Betting tips for November 10 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for AZ x Willem II, Sunday, 10/11/2024
📅 10/11/2024
15:45
AZ AZ
1.42
X
4.45
Willem II Willem II
7.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for AZ x Willem II:

🔮 AZ wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AZ, you can win up to $710.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for AZ x Willem II:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AZ in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-60.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Willem II in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-108.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, AZ scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Willem II, AZ scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 AZ matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between AZ x Willem II, with AZ as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, AZ conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, AZ conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Willem II.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on AZ x Willem II?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on AZ x Willem II:

Analysis from AZ x Willem II for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 10 of November

🏟️ AZ X Willem II – Netherlands Eredivisie
📅 10 of November, 2024 – 15:45
🔵 AZ – Winning probability: 83.99% | Fair line: 1.19
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.95% | Fair line: 8.37
🔴 Willem II – Winning probability: 4.06% | Fair line: 24.61
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 AZ
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AZ x Willem II right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1218874 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AZ x Willem II

Should you bet on AZ?

🔵 AZ: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 83.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 840 times – having a profit of $352.80;
  • And would lose other 160 times – losing -$160.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$192.80.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $414.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$466.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Willem II?

🔴 Willem II: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $240.00;
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$720.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AZ x Willem II

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 AZ
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AZ x Willem II

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 AZ, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 AZ.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Willem II.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AZ x Willem II

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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