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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Quilmes x Nueva Chicago Betting tips for November 10 in Argentina Nacional B
Sunday, 10 November 2024, 22h20 Argentina Nacional B
Quilmes Quilmes
PREDICTION No tip
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago
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Quilmes x Nueva Chicago Betting tips for November 10 in Argentina Nacional B

Our betting tip for Quilmes x Nueva Chicago, Sunday, 10/11/2024
πŸ“… 10/11/2024
22:20
Quilmes Quilmes
2.12
X
2.85
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago
3.66

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Quilmes x Nueva Chicago:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Quilmes x Nueva Chicago

Some important points for the tip for Quilmes x Nueva Chicago:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Quilmes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $315.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Nueva Chicago in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-125.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Quilmes scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Nueva Chicago, Quilmes scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Quilmes has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Nueva Chicago playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Quilmes x Nueva Chicago?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Quilmes x Nueva Chicago, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Quilmes x Nueva Chicago for the Argentina Nacional B – 10 of November

🏟️ Quilmes X Nueva Chicago – Argentina Nacional B
πŸ“… 10 of November, 2024 – 22:20
πŸ”΅ Quilmes – Winning probability: 45.62% | Fair line: 2.19
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.72% | Fair line: 3.48
πŸ”΄ Nueva Chicago – Winning probability: 25.67% | Fair line: 3.9
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Quilmes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Quilmes x Nueva Chicago is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1219192 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Quilmes x Nueva Chicago

Is it a good idea to bet on Quilmes?

πŸ”΅ Quilmes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $515.20;
  • And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$24.80. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $536.50
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$173.50.

Should you bet on Nueva Chicago?

πŸ”΄ Nueva Chicago: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.66. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $691.60;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$48.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Quilmes x Nueva Chicago

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Quilmes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Quilmes x Nueva Chicago

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Quilmes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Quilmes. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Quilmes x Nueva Chicago

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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