Monterrey x Leon Betting tips for November 11 in Mexico Liga MX
| 📅 11/11/2024 01:05 |
 Monterrey1.50 |
X 4.31 |
Leon  5.50 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Monterrey x Leon:
🔮 Monterrey wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Monterrey, you can win up to $750.00!
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Important information for your tip for Monterrey x Leon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monterrey in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $49.0. |
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Analysis from Monterrey x Leon for the Mexico Liga MX – 11 of November
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🏟️ Monterrey X Leon – Mexico Liga MX |
When the best bet on Monterrey x Leon is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1219192 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Monterrey x Leon
Should you bet on Monterrey?
🔵 Monterrey: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 76.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 770 times – having a profit of $385.00;
- And would lose other 230 times – having a loss of -$230.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$155.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 120 times – profiting $397.20;
- And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$482.80.
Is it worth betting on Leon?
🔴 Leon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – profiting $540.00;
- And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$340.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Monterrey x Leon
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Monterrey
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monterrey x Leon
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Monterrey and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Monterrey.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Leon.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monterrey x Leon
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.
