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Home » Predictions » Others » Lanus x Platense Betting tips for November 11 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Monday, 11 November 2024, 21h45 Argentina Liga Profesional
Lanus Lanus
PREDICTION Lanus wins Probability 47% 1 X 2
Platense Platense
ODD: @2.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Lanus x Platense Betting tips for November 11 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Lanus x Platense, Monday, 11/11/2024
📅 11/11/2024
21:45
Lanus Lanus
2.25
X
2.94
Platense Platense
3.40

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lanus x Platense:

🔮 Lanus wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lanus, you can win up to $1125.00!

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The main points for the tip for Lanus x Platense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lanus in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-220.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Platense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $200.0.
👉 In the last 7 Lanus matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 Platense matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Platense has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Lanus x Platense for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 11 of November

🏟️ Lanus X Platense – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 11 of November, 2024 – 21:45
🔵 Lanus – Winning probability: 48.00% | Fair line: 2.08
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.56% | Fair line: 2.81
🔴 Platense – Winning probability: 16.44% | Fair line: 6.08
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Lanus
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Lanus x Platense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1220160 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lanus x Platense

Should you bet on Lanus?

🔵 Lanus: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – profiting $600.00;
  • And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$80.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $698.40;
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$58.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on Platense?

🔴 Platense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $384.00
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$456.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lanus x Platense

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Lanus
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lanus x Platense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Lanus, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Lanus.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Lanus.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lanus x Platense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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