Once Caldas x Junior Betting tips for November 11 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Once Caldas x Junior, Monday, 11/11/2024

📅 11/11/2024 23:20

Once Caldas 2.16

X 3.00

Junior 3.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Once Caldas x Junior:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Once Caldas x Junior

Some important points for the tip for Once Caldas x Junior: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Once Caldas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-114.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Junior in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Junior, Once Caldas scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Junior matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Once Caldas conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Once Caldas x Junior for the Colombia Primera A – 11 of November

When the best bet on Once Caldas x Junior is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1220160 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Once Caldas x Junior

Should you bet on Once Caldas?

🔵 Once Caldas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 450 times – profiting $522.00;
• And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$28.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $680.00
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$20.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on Junior?

🔴 Junior: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $504.00;
• And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$286.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Once Caldas x Junior

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Once Caldas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Once Caldas x Junior

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Once Caldas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Once Caldas.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Once Caldas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Once Caldas x Junior

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.