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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Argentinos Jrs x Banfield Betting tips for November 12 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Tuesday, 12 November 2024, 00h00 Argentina Liga Profesional
Argentinos Jrs Argentinos Jrs
PREDICTION No tip
Banfield Banfield
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Argentinos Jrs x Banfield Betting tips for November 12 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Argentinos Jrs x Banfield, Tuesday, 12/11/2024
πŸ“… 12/11/2024
00:00
Argentinos Jrs Argentinos Jrs
2.08
X
3.00
Banfield Banfield
3.81

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Argentinos Jrs x Banfield:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Argentinos Jrs x Banfield

The main points for the tip for Argentinos Jrs x Banfield:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Argentinos Jrs in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-55.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Banfield in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-255.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Banfield scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Banfield, Argentinos Jrs scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Banfield conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Argentinos Jrs has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Banfield playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Argentinos Jrs x Banfield?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Argentinos Jrs x Banfield, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Argentinos Jrs x Banfield for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 12 of November

🏟️ Argentinos Jrs X Banfield – Argentina Liga Profesional
πŸ“… 12 of November, 2024 – 00:00
πŸ”΅ Argentinos Jrs – Winning probability: 58.08% | Fair line: 1.72
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.56% | Fair line: 3.27
πŸ”΄ Banfield – Winning probability: 11.36% | Fair line: 8.8
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Argentinos Jrs
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Argentinos Jrs x Banfield is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1220160 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Argentinos Jrs x Banfield

Is betting on Argentinos Jrs worth it?

πŸ”΅ Argentinos Jrs: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 58.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $626.40
  • And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$206.40, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $620.00
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$70.00.

Is it worth betting on Banfield?

πŸ”΄ Banfield: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.81. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $309.10;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$580.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Argentinos Jrs x Banfield

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Argentinos Jrs
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Argentinos Jrs x Banfield

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Argentinos Jrs, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Argentinos Jrs.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Argentinos Jrs.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Argentinos Jrs x Banfield

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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