Dunfermline x Alloa Betting tips for November 12 in Scotland League Challenge Cup

Our betting tip for Dunfermline x Alloa, Tuesday, 12/11/2024

📅 12/11/2024 19:45

Dunfermline 1.94

X 3.20

Alloa 3.55

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Dunfermline x Alloa:

🔮 Dunfermline wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Dunfermline, you can win up to $970.00!

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The main points for the tip for Dunfermline x Alloa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Dunfermline in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-55.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alloa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $155.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Alloa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Alloa, Dunfermline scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Dunfermline x Alloa, with Dunfermline as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Alloa has not lost any of them. 👉 Dunfermline has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Alloa playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Dunfermline x Alloa?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Dunfermline x Alloa, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Dunfermline x Alloa for the Scotland League Challenge Cup – 12 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Dunfermline x Alloa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1220224 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Dunfermline x Alloa

Should you bet on Dunfermline?

🔵 Dunfermline: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 69.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 700 times – having a profit of $658.00;
• And would lose other 300 times – having a loss of -$300.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$358.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $264.00
• And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$616.00.

Should you bet on Alloa?

🔴 Alloa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $484.50;
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$325.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Dunfermline x Alloa

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Dunfermline
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dunfermline x Alloa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Dunfermline, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Dunfermline.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Dunfermline.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dunfermline x Alloa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.