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Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » Flamengo x Atletico Mineiro Betting tips for November 13 in Brazil Serie A
Wednesday, 13 November 2024, 23h00 Brazil Serie A
Flamengo Flamengo
PREDICTION Flamengo wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro
ODD: @1.8 Don't miss this prediction!

Flamengo x Atletico Mineiro Betting tips for November 13 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Flamengo x Atletico Mineiro, Wednesday, 13/11/2024
📅 13/11/2024
23:00
Flamengo Flamengo
1.80
X
3.45
Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro
4.37

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Flamengo x Atletico Mineiro:

🔮 Flamengo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Flamengo, you can win up to $900.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Flamengo x Atletico Mineiro:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Flamengo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $164.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Mineiro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Flamengo conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Flamengo x Atletico Mineiro?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Flamengo x Atletico Mineiro:

Analysis from Flamengo x Atletico Mineiro for the Brazil Serie A – 13 of November

🏟️ Flamengo X Atletico Mineiro – Brazil Serie A
📅 13 of November, 2024 – 23:00
🔵 Flamengo – Winning probability: 66.69% | Fair line: 1.5
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.65% | Fair line: 5.09
🔴 Atletico Mineiro – Winning probability: 13.66% | Fair line: 7.32
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Flamengo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Flamengo x Atletico Mineiro is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1221159 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Flamengo x Atletico Mineiro

Is betting on Flamengo worth it?

🔵 Flamengo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 66.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 670 times – this would give you a profit of $536.00
  • And would lose other 330 times – having a loss of -$330.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$206.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $490.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$310.00.

Should you bet on Atletico Mineiro?

🔴 Atletico Mineiro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.37. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $471.80;
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$388.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Flamengo x Atletico Mineiro

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Flamengo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Flamengo x Atletico Mineiro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Flamengo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Flamengo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Atletico Mineiro.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Flamengo x Atletico Mineiro

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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