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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Caracas x Deportivo Tachira Betting tips for November 12 in Venezuela Primera Division
Tuesday, 12 November 2024, 22h30 Venezuela Primera Division
Caracas Caracas
PREDICTION No tip
Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira
Don't miss this prediction!

Caracas x Deportivo Tachira Betting tips for November 12 in Venezuela Primera Division

Our betting tip for Caracas x Deportivo Tachira, Tuesday, 12/11/2024
πŸ“… 12/11/2024
22:30
Caracas Caracas
3.10
X
3.00
Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira
2.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Caracas x Deportivo Tachira:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Caracas x Deportivo Tachira

Some important points for the tip for Caracas x Deportivo Tachira:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Caracas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-128.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Tachira in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-114.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Deportivo Tachira scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 road matches, Deportivo Tachira has not lost any of them.
πŸ‘‰ Caracas has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Deportivo Tachira playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Caracas x Deportivo Tachira?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Caracas x Deportivo Tachira:

Analysis from Caracas x Deportivo Tachira for the Venezuela Primera Division – 12 of November

🏟️ Caracas X Deportivo Tachira – Venezuela Primera Division
πŸ“… 12 of November, 2024 – 22:30
πŸ”΅ Caracas – Winning probability: 24.92% | Fair line: 4.01
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.33% | Fair line: 2.91
πŸ”΄ Deportivo Tachira – Winning probability: 40.76% | Fair line: 2.45
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Caracas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Caracas x Deportivo Tachira is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1220942 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Caracas x Deportivo Tachira

Is it a good idea to bet on Caracas?

πŸ”΅ Caracas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$225.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $680.00
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$20.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Deportivo Tachira?

πŸ”΄ Deportivo Tachira: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – profiting $492.00;
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$98.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Caracas x Deportivo Tachira

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Caracas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Caracas x Deportivo Tachira

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Caracas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Caracas.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Caracas x Deportivo Tachira

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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