Deportivo La Guaira x Estudiantes Merida Betting tips for November 13 in Venezuela Primera Division
| 📅 13/11/2024 22:30 |
 Deportivo La Guaira2.00 |
X 3.30 |
Estudiantes Merida  3.25 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Deportivo La Guaira x Estudiantes Merida:
👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Deportivo La Guaira x Estudiantes Merida
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The main points for the tip for Deportivo La Guaira x Estudiantes Merida: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo La Guaira in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $123.0. |
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Analysis from Deportivo La Guaira x Estudiantes Merida for the Venezuela Primera Division – 13 of November
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🏟️ Deportivo La Guaira X Estudiantes Merida – Venezuela Primera Division |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Deportivo La Guaira x Estudiantes Merida right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1221159 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Deportivo La Guaira x Estudiantes Merida
Should you bet on Deportivo La Guaira?
🔵 Deportivo La Guaira: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
- And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$100.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $667.00;
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$43.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Should you bet on Estudiantes Merida?
🔴 Estudiantes Merida: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $585.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$155.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo La Guaira x Estudiantes Merida
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Deportivo La Guaira
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo La Guaira x Estudiantes Merida
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Deportivo La Guaira, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Deportivo La Guaira.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Deportivo La Guaira.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo La Guaira x Estudiantes Merida
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
