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Home » Predictions » Others » North Macedonia x Latvia Betting tips for November 14 in UEFA Nations League C
Thursday, 14 November 2024, 19h45 UEFA Nations League C
North Macedonia North Macedonia
PREDICTION North Macedonia wins Probability 84% 1 X 2
Latvia Latvia
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

North Macedonia x Latvia Betting tips for November 14 in UEFA Nations League C

Our betting tip for North Macedonia x Latvia, Thursday, 14/11/2024
📅 14/11/2024
19:45
North Macedonia North Macedonia
1.50
X
4.10
Latvia Latvia
6.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for North Macedonia x Latvia:

🔮 North Macedonia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on North Macedonia, you can win up to $750.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for North Macedonia x Latvia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Latvia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, North Macedonia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Latvia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 North Macedonia matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Latvia conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on North Macedonia x Latvia?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on North Macedonia x Latvia:

Analysis from North Macedonia x Latvia for the UEFA Nations League C – 14 of November

🏟️ North Macedonia X Latvia – UEFA Nations League C
📅 14 of November, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 North Macedonia – Winning probability: 84.70% | Fair line: 1.18
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.00% | Fair line: 9.09
🔴 Latvia – Winning probability: 4.31% | Fair line: 23.21
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 North Macedonia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between North Macedonia and Latvia.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1221188 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for North Macedonia x Latvia

Is it worth betting on North Macedonia?

🔵 North Macedonia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 84.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 850 times – this would give you a profit of $425.00
  • And would lose other 150 times – losing -$150.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$275.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $341.00;
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$549.00.

Should you bet on Latvia?

🔴 Latvia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $220.00;
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$740.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match North Macedonia x Latvia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 North Macedonia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for North Macedonia x Latvia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 North Macedonia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 North Macedonia.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 North Macedonia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for North Macedonia x Latvia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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