Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home » Predictions » World Cup » Venezuela x Brazil Betting tips for November 14 in South America – World Cup Qualifying
Thursday, 14 November 2024, 21h00 South America - World Cup Qualifying
Venezuela Venezuela
PREDICTION Brazil Wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
Brazil Brazil
ODD: @1.6 Don't miss this prediction!

Venezuela x Brazil Betting tips for November 14 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Venezuela x Brazil, Thursday, 14/11/2024
📅 14/11/2024
21:00
Venezuela Venezuela
5.80
X
3.70
Brazil Brazil
1.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Venezuela x Brazil:

🔮 Brazil wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Brazil, you can win up to $800.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Venezuela x Brazil:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Venezuela in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Brazil in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-205.0.
👉 In the last 5 Venezuela matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Brazil is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 away matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Venezuela x Brazil?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Venezuela x Brazil:

Analysis from Venezuela x Brazil for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 14 of November

🏟️ Venezuela X Brazil – South America – World Cup Qualifying
📅 14 of November, 2024 – 21:00
🔵 Venezuela – Winning probability: 8.25% | Fair line: 12.12
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.03% | Fair line: 5.25
🔴 Brazil – Winning probability: 72.72% | Fair line: 1.38
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Venezuela
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Venezuela x Brazil right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1221435 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Venezuela x Brazil

Is betting on Venezuela worth it?

🔵 Venezuela: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $384.00
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$536.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $513.00
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$297.00.

Is betting on Brazil worth it?

🔴 Brazil: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 72.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 730 times – having a profit of $438.00;
  • And would lose other 270 times – losing -$270.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$168.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Venezuela x Brazil

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Venezuela
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Venezuela x Brazil

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Venezuela, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Venezuela.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Venezuela x Brazil

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteúdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters