Paraguay x Argentina Betting tips for November 14 in South America – World Cup Qualifying
| 📅 14/11/2024 23:30 |
 Paraguay5.00 |
X 3.40 |
Argentina  1.73 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Paraguay x Argentina:
🔮 Argentina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Argentina, you can win up to $865.00!
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Important information for your tip for Paraguay x Argentina: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Argentina in each of its last 4 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $54.0. |
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Analysis from Paraguay x Argentina for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 14 of November
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🏟️ Paraguay X Argentina – South America – World Cup Qualifying |
When the best bet on Paraguay x Argentina is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1221437 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Paraguay x Argentina
Is it a good idea to bet on Paraguay?
🔵 Paraguay: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – profiting $560.00;
- And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$300.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $600.00;
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$150.00.
Should you bet on Argentina?
🔴 Argentina: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 60.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.73. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 610 times – profiting $445.30;
- And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$55.30.
Handicaps analysis for the match Paraguay x Argentina
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Paraguay
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Paraguay x Argentina
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Paraguay and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Paraguay.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Paraguay x Argentina
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
