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Home » Predictions » World Cup » Ecuador x Bolivia Betting tips for November 15 in South America – World Cup Qualifying
Friday, 15 November 2024, 00h00 South America - World Cup Qualifying
Ecuador Ecuador
PREDICTION Ecuador wins Probability 98% 1 X 2
Bolivia Bolivia
ODD: @1.17 Don't miss this prediction!

Ecuador x Bolivia Betting tips for November 15 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Ecuador x Bolivia, Friday, 15/11/2024
📅 15/11/2024
00:00
Ecuador Ecuador
1.17
X
6.55
Bolivia Bolivia
13.25

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Ecuador x Bolivia:

🔮 Ecuador wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ecuador, you can win up to $585.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Ecuador x Bolivia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ecuador in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-83.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bolivia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $600.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Bolivia, Ecuador scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Bolivia matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 10 matches as the away team, Bolivia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Ecuador has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Bolivia.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Ecuador x Bolivia?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ecuador x Bolivia, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Ecuador x Bolivia for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 15 of November

🏟️ Ecuador X Bolivia – South America – World Cup Qualifying
📅 15 of November, 2024 – 00:00
🔵 Ecuador – Winning probability: 98.67% | Fair line: 1.01
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.18% | Fair line: 84.71
🔴 Bolivia – Winning probability: 0.15% | Fair line: 680.32
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Ecuador
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ecuador x Bolivia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1221437 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ecuador x Bolivia

Is it a good idea to bet on Ecuador?

🔵 Ecuador: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 98.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.17. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 990 times – profiting $168.30;
  • And would have lost other 10 times – with a loss of -$10.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$158.30.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $55.50;
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$934.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Bolivia?

🔴 Bolivia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 13.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Ecuador x Bolivia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Ecuador
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ecuador x Bolivia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.25 Ecuador and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.0 Ecuador.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.0 Ecuador.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ecuador x Bolivia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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