Costa Rica x Panama Betting tips for November 15 in CONCACAF Nations League

Our betting tip for Costa Rica x Panama, Friday, 15/11/2024

📅 15/11/2024 02:00

Costa Rica 2.40

X 3.09

Panama 2.87

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Costa Rica x Panama:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Costa Rica x Panama

Some important points for the tip for Costa Rica x Panama: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Costa Rica in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $325.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Panama in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-345.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Costa Rica scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Costa Rica matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Panama conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Costa Rica conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Panama. 👉 Costa Rica is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Panama as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches. 👉 Even as a visitor, Panama won the last 3 head-to-head matches Costa Rica´s territory

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Analysis from Costa Rica x Panama for the CONCACAF Nations League – 15 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Costa Rica x Panama right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1221435 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Costa Rica x Panama

Is it a good idea to bet on Costa Rica?

🔵 Costa Rica: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $532.00;
• And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$88.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.09. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $668.80
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$11.20 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on Panama worth it?

🔴 Panama: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.87. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $542.30;
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$167.70.

Handicaps analysis for the match Costa Rica x Panama

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Costa Rica
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Costa Rica x Panama

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Costa Rica, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Costa Rica.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Panama.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Costa Rica x Panama

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.