America de Cali x Once Caldas Betting tips for November 15 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for America de Cali x Once Caldas, Friday, 15/11/2024

📅 15/11/2024 00:00

America de Cali 1.83

X 3.25

Once Caldas 4.34

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for America de Cali x Once Caldas:

🔮 Once Caldas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Once Caldas, you can win up to $2170.00!

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The main points for the tip for America de Cali x Once Caldas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on America de Cali in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $56.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Once Caldas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $30.0. 👉 In the last 4 America de Cali matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between America de Cali x Once Caldas, with America de Cali as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Once Caldas conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 America de Cali has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Once Caldas playing at home.

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Analysis from America de Cali x Once Caldas for the Colombia Primera A – 15 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between America de Cali and Once Caldas.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1221437 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for America de Cali x Once Caldas

Is it a good idea to bet on America de Cali?

🔵 America de Cali: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.83. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $273.90;
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$396.10.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $607.50
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$122.50.

Is betting on Once Caldas worth it?

🔴 Once Caldas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.34. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 400 times – profiting $1336.00;
• And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$736.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match America de Cali x Once Caldas

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 America de Cali
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for America de Cali x Once Caldas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 America de Cali, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 America de Cali.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Once Caldas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for America de Cali x Once Caldas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.