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Home » Predictions » Others » Suriname x Canada Betting tips for November 15 in CONCACAF Nations League
Friday, 15 November 2024, 23h30 CONCACAF Nations League
Suriname Suriname
PREDICTION Canada Wins Probability 82% 1 X 2
Canada Canada
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Suriname x Canada Betting tips for November 15 in CONCACAF Nations League

Our betting tip for Suriname x Canada, Friday, 15/11/2024
📅 15/11/2024
23:30
Suriname Suriname
5.50
X
4.20
Canada Canada
1.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Suriname x Canada:

🔮 Canada wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Canada, you can win up to $750.00!

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Important information for your tip for Suriname x Canada:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Canada in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $135.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Suriname scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Suriname conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Suriname x Canada for the CONCACAF Nations League – 15 of November

🏟️ Suriname X Canada – CONCACAF Nations League
📅 15 of November, 2024 – 23:30
🔵 Suriname – Winning probability: 8.14% | Fair line: 12.28
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.13% | Fair line: 10.95
🔴 Canada – Winning probability: 82.73% | Fair line: 1.21
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Suriname
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Suriname x Canada right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1221437 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Suriname x Canada

Is betting on Suriname worth it?

🔵 Suriname: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $360.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$560.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $288.00
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$622.00.

Is betting on Canada worth it?

🔴 Canada: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 82.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 830 times – this would give you a profit of $415.00
  • And would lose other 170 times – losing -$170.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$245.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Suriname x Canada

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Suriname
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Suriname x Canada

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Suriname and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Suriname.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Suriname.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Suriname x Canada

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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